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Hi Bricenojd

Yes I accurately acknowledged my sources. I never said that the source I mentioned does not keep informed, however. You're either trying to put words into my mouth, or you falsely believe that the written word in Nicaragua is more informative than the spoken word.

I also never said that war is coming - again trying to put words in my mouth. I said it is increasingly likely. I also described the scenario in which it would likely happen if it does happen. You yourself know that there are about four or five million Nicaraguans who all have scores to settle with each other and could see the benefit of six or twelve months of cover to lay issues at rest (they believe this would be effective).

Anyhow, you just watch Mr. and Mrs. As long as their hearts keep ticking, there is probably sufficient glue to keep the "social fabric" (tourniquet) from ripping. But if someone from the inside or the outside takes one (and certainly if both) of them out, all bets are off: pack your bags and head for Peñas Blancas.

Hi Cory,

Did you mean that I was right or that Bricenojd is right? From what I hear, the Nicaraguan countryside is becoming increasingly desperate and unsafe for locals and guests - I definitely would advise against riding a bicycle through the Nicraguan countryside alone, on roads where five years ago I would have said it is fine - especially if one has been in the country long enough to have people who (with or without reason) wouldn't mind taking advantage of them.

Here's a video of the latest rally. Still mostly all words luckily, but the paid Sandinista mercenaries you see at the end will be happy to escalate when given the word. In case you can't see the video, click here.