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Good Question

I'm wondering the same thing myself. 

The google Nicaragua alerts have been fascinating all week.  There was one bizarre real estate site claiming Nicaragua as the 2nd safest country in the Western Hemisphere and stating "500,000 American retirees will make the country their home over the next 5-10 years" -- if anyone wants to take that side of the bet, just name the odds, I think it's unlikely that there would be a net increase of even 5,000 expatriate retirees to Nicaragua over the next 10 years.

On the other side have been many critical blogs, a Time article., and some pieces in http://www.nicatimes.net/, by I think the same people who wrote the Time article.

From what I've read on some other chat boards, things do seem a lot more tense than they had been until recently.  Even several persons who often don't want to say a bad thing about Nicaragua are admittedly very uncomfortable.

Unfortunately for the opposition, they have even less power than they had two years ago.  They can complain all they want, but they are like any other population that willingly allowed a dictator to take power.  They know that the will to power of the Sandinistas is greater than theirs.  The Sandinistas have conviction like many leftist dictators that they are uniquely qualified to lead Nicaragua and are entitled to solidify their power by any means necessary.

I predict that although there may be some minor violence and damage, that the Nicaraguan opposition will by and large continue complacently to accept the Sandinista rule.  The opposition will continue to be allowed to live and do business in Nicaragua, but the official and unofficial taxes will continue to rise.  Those who can leave and haven't yet will consider it more seriously.

Peter

 

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