Russia to Build Nicaragua Canal? I Don't Think So.

peterchristopher's picture

According to some reports from Russia/Bulgaria (with a spelling error in the very first sentence), Russia is "interested in the long-planed project for a Nicaraguan canal linking the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans"

A Bulgarian or Russian news agency came up with this: Russia May Build Long-Planned Nicaragua Canal

This isn't going to happen.  First of all, Russia doesn't think that far ahead.  China, maybe.  Second of all, Russia knows that going around the world is harder than going next door.  Ukraine and Georgia are easier than Afghanistan and Nicaragua.

But China has no reason to build another canal - it's already got the Panama Canal.  I don't know the facts, first hand but I'm sure China has been wisely investing in relations in Panama.  Certainly the Chinese already own many businesses in Panama.

Who does that leave?  And to build a canal in unstable Nicaragua?  Nobody is going to build a canal in Nicaragua anytime soon; probably ever.

Nicaragua probably does deserve some kudos for the increased power generation that has supposedly been installed there.  But that one accomplishment is remarkable and probably the extent of the progress we will see there.

 

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No Pasara

Here, here!

sure, why not

Well, I'd laught at myself, too: why not!

But does that make it any more likely to happen?

 

That makes two of us. I'm not

That makes two of us.

I'm not nicaraguan, I haven't even been there in my life, but if this canal gets done, I'll laugh real hard as well!

It may not happen, but if it does, I wll laugh really hard

It may not happen, but if it does, I wll laugh really hard at you

canal is a red herring

The quid pro quo for Ortega's shocking recognition of Ossetia and Abkhazian independence was a visit from a high ranking diplomat. Among the accords signed was NEW MILITARY AID. While the diplomat downplayed this, those in the know expect that the sandinista army will get new weapons shipments.

http://www.elnuevodiario.com.ni/politica/27809

The opposition is not sanguine about what those weapons will be used for. Coupled with Lenin Cerna's certain command of the turbas and Ubeda shock troops, and it does not stretch the imagination that the repression will get more severe.

Conversing with friends the conventional wisdom is that Ortega will go for broke at some point soon. From what I saw at Leon, I can tell you that there will be a big provocation that will be used as pretext.

People are getting radicalized. The anti-sandinista opposition has said it will not let itself get cowed or beaten by the turbas.

Canal to be built

Wont ever happen

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